PODCAST

Economy Watch

Interest.co.nz / Podcasts NZ, David Chaston, Gareth Vaughan, interest.co.nz

We follow the economic events and trends that affect New Zealand.

business investing

All Episodes

00:04:16

Bad policy can do massive long-term damage

Economy Watch ·

2024/05/08

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news market-moving data is scarce today but investors should be reading the latest US CBO update.First, there was only a modest rise in consumer debt in March, up a mere +1.5% and substantially less than the rise analysts were expecting. Stepping back for a longer term trend view,

00:04:52

Even dour opinions can't knock blossoming data

Economy Watch ·

2024/05/07

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news the positive global economic news rolls on, despite the best efforts of some regional forces to risk everything with crazy adventures.First, today's dairy auction brought a welcome, if small, rise. And it is maybe more than it looks given the signals from the derivatives

00:03:43

The global service sector powers on

Economy Watch ·

2024/05/06

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news the global service sector is in reasonable shape, helping generate new impetus to the world's economy. Equity markets are rising the wave.In China, their private Caixin services PMI brought some good solid news. It was little-changed in April from the expansion in March, but

00:07:01

US labour market growth slows but productivity rises

Economy Watch ·

2024/05/05

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news the American labour market data for April seemed to have something for everyone.But first, in the coming week it will be relatively quiet, especially on the US data front. But the Q1 earnings season is in its final weeks and still includes some major reporting. Elsewhere we

00:05:25

Economic growth rises despite the challenges

Economy Watch ·

2024/05/02

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news the OECD sees a world economy in recovery and about to expand at an increased rate, despite the many challenges. It is a perspective of resilience.But first in the US, jobless claims held at a two month low ahead of tomorrow's April non-farm labour market report. There were

00:04:13

The US Fed comes out less hawkish than feared

Economy Watch ·

2024/05/01

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news today's Fed positioning is less hawkish that markets had expected.The US Fed policy announcement today brought no change in their rate targets at 5.25-5.50%. They did note that ongoing inflationary pressures and a tight labour market has stalled progress toward bringing

00:05:03

Modest global economic growth despite sticky inflation

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/30

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news that as we await our local labour market report, the global economy is expanding modestly, but inflation isn't killed off yet.First in the US labour costs rose +4.2% in the year to March, up +1.2% from the prior quarter. This is the highest rate of increase since mid-2022

00:04:29

Of prices, politics and sentiment

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/29

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news that today we are in the quiet period before some big news coming up in the rest of the week, starting with our own labour market data out tomorrow, and the US Fed rate review on Thursday (NZT).In the meantime in the US, the pressure from rising petrol prices seems to have

00:06:09

Eyes on US jobs, NZ's too

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/28

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news that jobs will be in focus this week.In the week ahead, all eyes will be on the US Fed's interest rate decision on Wednesday, followed closely by their April labour market report on Saturday (NZT). And that comes after our own local labour market report for March on

00:06:07

Stagflation sniffs a comeback

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/25

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news all about American GDP and reactions to the first quarter results.US economic activity expanded an annualised +1.6% in Q1-2024, compared to +3.4% in the previous quarter and below forecasts of +2.5%. It was the lowest growth since the contractions in the first half of 2022, the

00:33:27

Jennifer Wilkins: making the case for degrowth

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/24

With economic growth no longer producing benefits seen in the past such as raising living standards for the middle class, and human activity having exceeded some planetary boundaries, it's time to embrace degrowth, argues Jennifer Wilkins.Wilkins is a researcher and advocate on sustainability in business with a focus on degrowth. In a new episode of interest.co.nz's Of Interest podcast, she discusses the degrowth movement."Degrowth is normally described or defined as an equitable downscaling of

00:04:52

Factories abuzz in many key countries

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/23

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news the world's factories are getting busier, especially in India.But first, the strong run of American retail sales is continuing. Sales at bricks & mortar stores on a same-store basis were +5.3% higher last week than the same week a year ago. This extends the +5% expansion to

00:04:46

Positive anticipation

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/22

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news markets are waiting for some big earnings reports, especially from Big Tech in the US. They are waiting in a positive mood.But first in the US, the Chicago Fed's National Activity Index rose for a second consecutive month March, the first time that has happened since mid-2022

00:05:37

Extended economic expansion drives up key metal prices

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/21

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news the ongoing rise in the world economy is shifting some key metals prices into a bull-run.But first a look ahead. The American data to be updated this week will be their advance Q1-2024 GDP which is currently expected to come in at +2.5%. That will follow key updates to durable

00:33:24

Andrew Dentice: Competition, innovation & societal...

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/19

For open banking to really grab people's attention the focus needs to be on the services it can enable, rather than the technology behind it, says Andrew Dentice.In the latest episode of interest.co.nz's Of Interest podcast, Dentice, a technology lawyer and partner at HudsonGavinMartin, discusses the data sharing that enables open banking, what open banking actually is, why progress towards it has been slow in New Zealand, what's going on with open banking overseas, the threat and opportunity of

00:04:56

The risks of shorting USTs becomes a global concern

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/18

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news that while we weren't watching a few people are making financial bets so large they could hurt us all.In its latest global financial stability report, the IMF says near-term risks have receded as disinflation (that is, the lowering of the positive inflation rate) is entering

00:04:41

US powers on driving global economy

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/17

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news our meat exports to China face tough conditions, and not just from competition from excess Aussie lamb supply.But first, US mortgage applications rose +3.3% last week even as benchmark mortgage interest rates rose to 7.13% plus points and a four month high. (A month ago it

00:06:38

Powell dials back rate cut expectations

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/16

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news the US Fed is telling markets rate cuts from them are not coming soon.First up today, the overnight dairy auction confirmed the recent rises, but didn't add to them in a subdued event. In USD terms overall prices were up +0.1 and in NZD terms up +1.5%. Volumes were

00:05:23

Unexpectedly strong US retail sales shake financial...

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/15

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news that bullish American consumers are likely pushing back the likelihood the US Fed will cut its policy rate any time soon.Financial markets now price in only two cuts this year, one in September and one in December and far less than the four priced in at the start of the year

00:05:16

Risks facing the global economy pile up

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/14

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news of an export setback in China that may signal a tougher path for them in the rest of 2024.But first, this week will kick off the US earnings season which will run for a few weeks until the Q1-2024 results are all in. Bank profits will be early in this set, many key ones coming

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