PODCAST

Economy Watch

Interest.co.nz / Podcasts NZ, David Chaston, Gareth Vaughan, interest.co.nz

We follow the economic events and trends that affect New Zealand.

business investing

All Episodes

00:22:40

Barbara Edmonds: Rehabilitating Labour's economic...

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/12

Finance spokesperson Barbara Edmonds says a re-elected Labour Government would have been willing to expand its planned public sector cuts to protect key programmes. The tax lawyer turned MP spoke on Interest.co.nz’s Of Interest podcast about the Coalition’s fiscal policy and her role in rebuilding the Labour Party after its election defeat. Part of that project will be rehabilitating the party’s economic credibility after presiding over a massive cost of living crisis. Ipsos’ February issues poll

00:04:23

Markets calm after US CPI bump

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/11

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news today's data releases in the shadow of yesterday's highish US CPI release, and there is some talk of rate cuts elsewhere.First up in the US, the number of new jobless claims fell last week, consigning the prior week's jump to the 'anomaly' basket. There are now 1.9 mln people

00:05:01

US inflation runs higher than expected

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/10

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news it is all about American inflation today, and the consequences of missing expectations.The American annual inflation rate picked up slightly for a second straight month, to 3.5% in March, its highest rate highest six months, and well above the 3.2% rate in February. And also

00:05:08

Above-average activity, below-average sentiment

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/09

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news business owners are having difficulty matching their sentiment with the conditions around them.And financial markets are in a bit of a pre-dawn shadow as they await the US CPI data tomorrow. Headline CPI is expected to tick up, core inflation tick lower. Both levels will be

00:03:55

The pain of variable rate mortgages

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/08

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news the IMF reckons the way the Aussie home loan market is structured accentuates mortgage rate pain.But first in the US, consumer inflation expectations for the year ahead remained steady at 3% for a third consecutive month in March, holding at three-year lows. For three years

00:05:57

Bond yields rise as rate cut bets fade

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/07

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news investors are much less sure rate cuts will come in 2024.This week, given that American jobs growth remained strong in March, all eyes will now turn to their inflation data with CPI due out on Thursday. That is expected to show inflation rising there slightly to 3.5%, but core

00:04:59

All good now but huge unavoidable changes coming

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/04

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news markets don't seem to be worrying about coming 'bad news' ahead of tomorrow's US March labour markets report.US initial jobless claims recorded a minor +2000 rise last week from the week before taking the total to 1.94 mln. But that was a big -74,000 decrease as more benefits

00:37:35

Tim Grafton: 12 years at the coalface of the...

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/04

The departing Chief Executive of the Insurance Council of New Zealand says if Wellington is hit with an earthquake on a similar scale to the Canterbury quakes, it would “raise some questions” on whether NZ insurers would be able to continue to purchase reinsurance at an affordable cost.“I think reinsurers would still be there. But the ability to purchase reinsurance at a good rate and the degree of capacity that would be available, particularly for property in Wellington, could be really

00:04:35

US inflation goals hampered by labour market expansion

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/03

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news progress toward lower inflation is underway but the road is bumpy.But first up today we should note that American mortgage application levels decreased again last week. Their mortgage rates moved lower last week, but that did little to ignite overall mortgage application

00:04:07

Bond losses weigh on equity markets

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/02

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news yields are climbing as markets recognise the Fed is serious about wanting to see sustained inflation at 2%, and the US economy just keeps on powering ahead. And that is hurting equity valuations.But first, the overnight dairy auction brought higher prices. In USD terms they

00:06:13

Global manufacturing indicators turn positive

Economy Watch ·

2024/04/01

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news that global manufacturing indicators have turned quite positive.First in China, their official March PMIs have set a bullish tone to start the week. Their official factory PMI rose to 50.8 from 49.1 a month earlier and export orders also recovered. The official services PMI

00:04:34

The battle against inflation continues, widens

Economy Watch ·

2024/03/27

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news natural events will likely have an increasing say in how the international economy operates.But first in the US, mortgage applications were lower last week again, and the good rises in the first two weeks of the month are fading. Even essentially unchanged mortgage interest

00:03:50

The good global economic news keeps on coming

Economy Watch ·

2024/03/26

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news that is increasingly positive in the world's largest economy.First up today, the retail signals in the US are quite positive. Their Redbook survey of bricks-and-mortar store shows sales rose +3.9% last week from the same week a year ago, handily besting inflation again.A

00:04:06

US economic dominance rolls on

Economy Watch ·

2024/03/25

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news the American economic juggernaut rolls on, dominating global markets.American new home sales levels in February missed estimates, but ~7% mortgage interest rates basically explain that. They eased by a minor -0.3% from January to an annualised rate of 662,000, and below market

00:06:00

Japan reprises 1990s inflation; Australia reprises...

Economy Watch ·

2024/03/24

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news all eyes are on China to see if they pull the trigger on their old stimulus playbook again.But first this week, the focal point in the United States will revolve around the PCE price indexes, and data on personal income and spending. Other key data include durable goods orders,

00:28:36

John Small on the Commerce Commission's recipe to...

Economy Watch ·

2024/03/23

In five years' time we would see things we can't imagine today if the Government adopts the Commerce Commission's recommendations to boost competition for personal banking services, Commission Chairman John Small says.Speaking about the Commission's draft report from its banking market study in the latest episode of interest.co.nz's Of Interest podcast, Small says he'll be interested to see what sort of response the Commission gets from the big four banks, ANZ, ASB, BNZ and Westpac, who it says are

00:05:48

A number of surprises, mostly positive

Economy Watch ·

2024/03/21

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with that is full of unexpected data and outcomes.US jobless claims fell last week to 190,000 and this was lower than expected. The number of people still on this unemployment insurance is lower too, at just over 2 mln. Neither signals growing labour market stress.The Philly Fed's

00:03:59

US Fed still sees three rate cuts in 2024

Economy Watch ·

2024/03/20

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news the Fed has held its policy rate unchanged at 5.5% but given strong signals cuts are coming - but later than markets were expecting. However they still see three cuts in 2024.The UST 10yr yield fell slightly on the news. The US dollar fell slightly too. Wall Street moved

00:29:57

Patrick Watson: US voters 'living in their own...

Economy Watch ·

2024/03/19

With a United States presidential election looming in November, Patrick Watson, Senior Economic Analyst at Mauldin Economics, says it's difficult to say what the key economic battleground will be because many voters are "living in their own realities."Speaking in a new episode of interest.co.nz's Of Interest podcast, Watson says there's not a great deal of agreement on whether the US economy is even in good or bad shape."If you ask Democrats, they mostly say the economy is fantastic. If you ask

00:06:12

A big week of central bank rate reviews

Economy Watch ·

2024/03/17

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news of a week of big policy announcements with some potentially very big implications.First all eyes will be on Japan's rate review (tomorrow, Tuesday). Strong wage gains in Japan, and by much more than expected, are fueling speculation that that Bank of Japan won't wait any longer

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