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The Bitcoin Layer

The Bitcoin Layer

The Bitcoin Layer is a premium markets research provider, covering bitcoin through a global macro lens | Research, Analysis, & Education Featuring Nik Bhatia, author of the #1 Amazon bestseller Layered Money and USC Marshall School of Business professor. Subscribe to our research publication and YouTube channel to learn about global macroeconomics, bitcoin, Lightning Network, the monetary and financial system, the Federal Reserve, interest rates, and geopolitics. Most importantly, develop a

business investing

All Episodes

00:19:16

Fed Liquidity Crunch Explained: Repo, QT, & Bitcoin’s...

The Bitcoin Layer ·

2025/11/04

In this episode, Nik breaks down a new wave of funding stress across the global liquidity system. He explains how the Treasury’s growing General Account is pulling cash from reserves, why repo spreads are flashing early warning signals, and how the dollar’s rebound is weighing on Bitcoin’s price below $108,000. With markets tightening and liquidity pressure mounting, Nik reveals what these signals mean for Bitcoin, risk assets, and the next phase of the global credit cycle.📚 Bitcoin Age is here,

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00:20:14

Liquidity Tightens AGAIN: What the Repo Market Is...

The Bitcoin Layer ·

2025/10/31

In this episode, Nik Bhatia breaks down the latest global macro developments including new stress in the repo market, the Fed’s official plan to end QT on November 30, and what these moves mean for liquidity, risk assets, and Bitcoin. Nik explains how the SOFR-to-IORB spread, declining reserves, and Treasury bill issuance point toward tightening conditions that will soon force renewed balance sheet growth. He also covers how “not-QE QE” may unfold, why the dollar and Chinese yuan movements matter

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00:39:12

THE FED ENDS QT: Fiscal Dominance, Repo Stress, &...

The Bitcoin Layer ·

2025/10/29

In this episode, Nik & Demian Schatt break down the Fed’s latest 25-basis-point rate cut, the announcement to end quantitative tightening, and what it reveals about the growing fiscal dominance shaping global markets. They unpack Joseph Wang’s concept of “Balance Sheet Dominance,” the mounting stress in repo markets, and why the Treasury’s massive bill issuance is now steering the Fed’s hand. The discussion connects these liquidity shifts to Bitcoin’s role in a system where monetary control is

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00:44:22

How The Bible Helped Me Understand The Capital War

The Bitcoin Layer ·

2025/10/28

In this episode, Nik sits down with Kane McGukin to explore how faith, morality, and history shape the global liquidity battle Michael Howell calls The Capital War. Kane explains how reading the Bible helped him understand cycles of credit, power, and moral decay that echo through today’s financial system. The discussion connects biblical wisdom to modern macro, from the U.S.–China rivalry to the shift from Eurodollar banking toward a new liquidity era powered by stablecoins and Bitcoin.Find Kane

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01:35:05

THE GREAT AMERICAN RESET: Credit, Industry, and...

The Bitcoin Layer ·

2025/10/23

In this episode, Nik is joined by Matt Dines, CIO of Build Asset Management, for an expansive look at America’s evolving grand strategy. They break down the Fed’s next move in the repo market, the role of gold in global reflation, and how Bitcoin fits into the new era of credit, conflict, and liquidity. Nik and Matt explore the CapEx boom, private credit expansion, and why the U.S. banking system’s structural shift gives it a strategic edge over Europe and China. The discussion connects five

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00:53:58

America’s Grand Strategy: Repo, China, Jensen Huang,...

The Bitcoin Layer ·

2025/10/21

In this episode, Nik breaks down the latest developments in the repo market, the Fed’s growing concern over reserve scarcity, and how these forces connect to America’s reindustrialization strategy. He explains how the shift from LIBOR to SOFR reflects a deeper geopolitical pivot, explores the U.S.–China economic dynamic, and outlines how new capital investment, dollar weakness, and expanding liquidity could drive Bitcoin’s next major cycle.📚 Bitcoin Age is here, order yours today:

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00:30:59

Repo Market MELTDOWN? Gold’s Move Signals Something BIG

The Bitcoin Layer ·

2025/10/16

In this episode, Nik breaks down what’s happening inside the repo market and why gold’s explosive move toward $4,300 is sending shockwaves through global markets. He explains how rising repo spreads signal emerging reserve scarcity, why the Fed’s standing repo facility is being used again, and what it all means for liquidity, volatility, and Bitcoin’s next move. Nik also shares why the gold price action is unlike anything seen in decades, and whether it points to a deeper crisis that could force the

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00:39:58

The Philosophy of Bitcoin & Fiat: Credit, Justice, &...

The Bitcoin Layer ·

2025/10/13

In this episode, Nik sits down with Pascal Hügli to explore the philosophical and structural tensions between Bitcoin and today’s fiat credit system. They discuss how stablecoins, central banking, and government spending are reshaping global money creation, and what Bitcoin’s emergence means for fairness, justice, and sound finance. Pascal shares insights from his new book on Bitcoin, explaining how the current system evolves toward fiscal dominance and why Bitcoin may serve as the foundation for a

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00:32:22

Bitcoin Reacts to Tariff Tensions: What’s Next for...

The Bitcoin Layer ·

2025/10/10

In this episode, Nik breaks down how new U.S. tariffs on China triggered a spike in volatility across global markets and sent Bitcoin lower after a strong start to October. He explains how the administration’s re-industrialization policies tie into the Fed’s rate path, the Treasury market, and housing policy. Nik covers the latest moves in oil, yields, and the yield curve, showing how the Fed’s mortgage unwind and fiscal spending cycle shape liquidity and Bitcoin’s next move.📚 Bitcoin Age is here,

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00:48:07

The Future of Bitcoin Mining: Home Miners, Pools, &...

The Bitcoin Layer ·

2025/10/06

In this episode, Nik is joined by Robert Warren, author of The Bitcoin Miners Almanac and Head of Research and Education at Bitcoin Park. They discuss the evolution of Bitcoin mining from industrial operations to the new wave of home miners integrating mining into heating, water systems, and solar panels. Robert explains how open source R&D is reshaping hardware, why decentralizing ASIC design matters, and how energy innovation is making mining more efficient and resilient. The conversation also

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00:21:55

BITCOIN PUMPING: Fed Cuts, Liquidity, & The Next...

The Bitcoin Layer ·

2025/10/03

In this episode, Nik breaks down Bitcoin’s strong start to October and what the latest pump means in the context of global macro. He explains how falling policy rates, Treasury yields, and dollar weakness are shaping liquidity conditions and risk markets. Nik highlights why correlations between Bitcoin and stocks matter, what average hourly earnings signal about inflation risk, and how the Fed’s shift from restrictive to accommodative policy will impact the next leg higher. The update also covers

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00:41:34

Bitcoin Breakout or Fade: $119,000 Test & Market...

The Bitcoin Layer ·

2025/10/02

In this episode, Nik is joined by TBL research associate Johan Bergman to analyze Bitcoin’s latest price action and on-chain signals. They break down the bullish engulfing pattern that may mark a trend reversal, explain why high-volume nodes at $105K and $117K act as support and resistance, and discuss the behavior of longs and shorts as positions reset. Johan highlights healthy signals in the derivatives market, including balanced funding rates and short squeezes, while on-chain data shows billions

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00:28:27

Saving Satoshi: Learning Bitcoin Through an...

The Bitcoin Layer ·

2025/09/30

In this episode, Nik sits down with Stacie, Christoph and Matthew from the Saving Satoshi team to explore their interactive Bitcoin education project. Saving Satoshi is a story-driven RPG that teaches the fundamentals of Bitcoin’s protocol from mining and hashing to signatures, transactions and Lightning. The conversation covers how the game helps newcomers and developers understand Bitcoin at its core, why interactive learning matters, and how educators are integrating Saving Satoshi into

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00:27:41

Global Macro Update: Bitcoin Support, Gold Ratio, &...

The Bitcoin Layer ·

2025/09/25

In this episode, Nik delivers a full global macro update with Bitcoin at a critical crossroads. He explains why funding rates are rolling off, volatility is at record structural lows, and how support levels could determine the next major move for Bitcoin. The update also explores the Bitcoin–gold ratio and why it fits into a long-term power law path, with Bitcoin continuing to outperform traditional stores of value. Nik connects these signals to Fed policy, the Treasury market, and dollar weakness,

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00:33:36

Bitcoin Price Levels to Watch: Short-Term Holders in...

The Bitcoin Layer ·

2025/09/24

In this episode, Nik is joined by TBL research associate Johan Bergman for a deep dive into Bitcoin’s latest price action and on-chain signals. Johan explains why the short-term holder cost basis has defined Bitcoin’s trading range for the past three years, and how the $104,000 level aligns with the 200-day moving average and key volume nodes. The discussion covers RSI momentum, Bollinger Band compression, and why realized volatility continues to decline as Bitcoin matures as an asset class. Nik and

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00:40:20

The Fed Is NOT In Control: Why Markets Lead & Bitcoin...

The Bitcoin Layer ·

2025/09/19

In this episode, Nik is joined by TBL researcher Demian Schatt to break down the Fed’s latest rate cut and why it’s just catching up to what markets have already priced in. He explains the meaning of the Fed’s “neutral rate,” why central bank policy lags economic conditions, and how the SOFR curve and MOVE index signal shifting liquidity dynamics. Nik and Demian explore the market’s expectations for inflation, the historical roots of Fed-government coordination, and the growing tension between

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00:21:57

Bitcoin & Liquidity Academy 3: Primary Dealers, U.S....

The Bitcoin Layer ·

2025/09/17

In this episode, Nik continues our TBL classroom series on Bitcoin and liquidity. He breaks down the inner workings of the U.S. Treasury market, the role of primary dealers, and how the Federal Reserve interacts with both. This lesson covers the mechanics of QE and QT, Fed balance sheet dynamics, and how treasuries move from issuance to investor portfolios. Nik also introduces the concept of liability-driven investing and asset-liability matching to explain long-term treasury demand. This episode

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00:29:19

How Bitcoin Is Powering a New Credit Market

The Bitcoin Layer ·

2025/09/15

In this episode, Nik welcomes Arch Lending CEO and co-founder Dhruv Patel to explore the emerging world of Bitcoin-backed lending. Dhruv explains how Arch provides overcollateralized loans to individuals and institutions, using Bitcoin as pristine collateral without rehypothecation. The conversation covers risk management, loan-to-value dynamics, interest rate trends, and why credit markets help legitimize Bitcoin as an asset class. Nik also breaks down the layered money framework and how Arch’s CLO

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00:37:49

Bitcoin Hits $116,000 as the Fed Eyes Rate Cuts

The Bitcoin Layer ·

2025/09/12

In this episode, Nik Bhatia breaks down the macroeconomic forces driving Bitcoin above $116,000, including a broad decline in interest rates, softening U.S. labor market data, and rising expectations for Fed rate cuts. He walks through updated CPI figures, ISM services and manufacturing signals, and why the Fed is likely to cut another 75bps even without a formal recession. Nik also examines the Treasury yield curve’s parallel shift, bond market dynamics, and the strategic reliance on Treasury

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00:25:49

Bitcoin & Liquidity Academy 2: How $37 Trillion in US...

The Bitcoin Layer ·

2025/09/08

In this episode, Nik continues our Bitcoin & Liquidity Academy with a deep dive into fixed income market structure and its role in global capital markets. He explains how loans become securities, why bonds trade differently than stocks, and how the Treasury system is organized through CUSIPs. Nik unpacks the scale of the $120 trillion bond market, contrasts equity and debt financing, and walks through who owns U.S. Treasuries today. He also explores the link between GDP, tax revenue, and debt

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131 results

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