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PODCAST

Supply Chain Secrets

The Supply Chain Secrets Podcast cuts through the noise to bring you real, unfiltered insights from the front lines of global logistics. Whether you’re a shipper, NVO, carrier, or just someone who needs to stay ahead of market shifts, we deliver analysis and hard-hitting conversations that actually matter. Visit nyshex.com/podcast to register to attend live!

technology

All Episodes

31:28

Year-End 2025: What Changed, What Didn’t, and What’s...

Supply Chain Secrets ·

2026/01/05

In this 2025 year-end review, Caroline, Lars, and Don Davis reflect on a year defined by tariff whiplash, uneven demand, and persistent gaps between quoted vs. paid spot rates. They also look ahead to 2026, where the base case remains continued volatility—with the Red Sea/Suez question, shifting capacity, and geopolitics keeping markets on edge. Key themes covered: Why 2025 ended “mixed”: SCFI up while paid, loaded spot rates stayed unevenHow tariffs reshaped shipper behavior toward more just...

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26:38

Unsettled Rates, New Tariffs & Rising Maritime Risks:...

Supply Chain Secrets ·

2025/12/15

Global shipping enters another volatile week. Caroline, Lars, and guest Michael Wray of Ocean Network Express (ONE) unpack rate swings across key trades, shifting sourcing strategies, Mexico’s new China tariffs, Red Sea uncertainty, and a surge in maritime risk incidents—from border conflicts to tanker seizures. In this episode: NYFI trends across Asia–Europe and the PacificWhy 20’ > 40’ pricing persists on TA eastboundThe slowdown in Asia–Europe demandMexico’s new tariffs on ChinaRed Sea ...

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18:15

Jittery Rates, Softening Demand & New Risks Ahead for...

Supply Chain Secrets ·

2025/12/08

This week, Caroline and Lars break down another volatile shift in the market — from weakening global demand to unusual rate distortions and rising geopolitical risks. In this episode: NYFI loaded spot rates for Asia–North Europe and the PacificA rare 20′ > 40′ price inversion on TA EastboundGlobal demand dropping sharply — and why Asia–Europe is the culpritTariff investigations and the impact on food importsRenewed Thailand–Cambodia tensions and supply chain reroutingA vessel attack in Bab...

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27:39

Freight Rates, Futures, and Investor Risk with Sagil...

Supply Chain Secrets ·

2025/12/01

This week on Supply Chain Secrets, Caroline Weaver and Lars Jensen are joined by Sagil Capital Partner Mark Hendricks to break down how freight rate volatility is affecting both shippers and investors. They cover the latest NYFI and SCFI movements, widening differences between sub-trades, the newest global reliability numbers, and updates on the ONE Henry Hudson and Red Sea routing. Mark shares how equity investors value shipping companies in unstable markets and why futures and hedging...

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19:36

Tariff Turmoil, Vessel Fires, and the Small Wire That...

Supply Chain Secrets ·

2025/11/24

Global container rates are sliding fast — and volatility is here to stay. In this week’s Supply Chain Secrets, Caroline and Lars break down what’s happening across key trades and what it means for shippers heading into 2026. In this episode: NYFI and SCFI data showing sharp rate declines across Pacific and South American tradesHow new tools and freight rate derivatives can help manage volatilityImport trends suggesting major inventory reductions across U.S. retail sectorsA deep dive into the ...

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27:22

A Jittery Market, A Clear Signal: Lower Rates Ahead?

Supply Chain Secrets ·

2025/11/17

Rates are up, down, and sideways depending on origin, equipment, and trade lane — but beneath the noise, a clear forward signal is emerging: 2026 contract levels look set to decline. Lars and Caroline walk through the extreme pricing divergence across Asia and why the Trans-Pacific feels like multiple markets stitched together. Here’s what we break down this week: The $25 drop vs. $700 jump in 20-foot rates depending on originWhy the Trans-Pacific is splitting into multiple micro-marketsSouth...

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20:30

Volatility Is Back — And So Are the Pirates

Supply Chain Secrets ·

2025/11/10

Rates are dropping, pirates are reappearing, and demand is diverging across the globe. In this episode, Lars Jensen and Caroline Weaver unpack what last week’s NYSHEX London event revealed about market volatility — and why the container industry’s “old normal” isn’t coming back. They cover: Sir Richard Dearlove’s surprising optimism on the Red Sea crisisWhy NYFI data shows loaded spot rates collapsing againThe widening gap between 20’ and 40’ ratesWhat’s behind North America’s lagging demandA...

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18:53

Unsettled Seas: China Tariffs, Rate Shifts, and the...

Supply Chain Secrets ·

2025/11/03

Container shipping just won’t sit still. This week, Caroline Weaver and Lars Jensen unpack the latest volatility across global trades — from Pacific spot rates showing strange regional “vibrations,” to a 20–30% capacity surge on the transatlantic that’s pushing rates to decade lows. They also break down the temporary pause in the U.S.–China trade war — what it really means for importers heading into 2026 — and why a new uptick in Somali piracy adds one more layer of complexity to an already u...

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19:31

Inflation’s Hidden Freight Discount: Why Rates Are...

Supply Chain Secrets ·

2025/10/28

Freight rates might look like they’re holding steady — but when you adjust for inflation, the real story tells a very different tale. In this week’s Supply Chain Secrets, Caroline Weaver and Lars Jensen break down why inflation-adjusted freight rates on major trade lanes have quietly slipped below pre-pandemic levels, even as indices like the SCFI show nominal increases. They also discuss how politically charged tariffs are blurring the line between trade policy and politics, and why a single...

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28:05

No Stop Button, No Filter: What's Going on in Global...

Supply Chain Secrets ·

2025/10/21

What happens when AWS failures disable your Stop Recording button? You let Lars Jensen keep talking — and you get one of the most in-depth updates yet. In this week’s Supply Chain Secrets, Caroline Weaver and Lars unpack: Why IMO’s “Net Zero” framework just became a zombie proposal,How that decision could stall billions in green-fuel investment,Why spot-rate spikes may be more sentiment than substance, andThe latest on the Red Sea ceasefire and tariff tension between the U.S. and China....

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26:19

Firehose Week: Tariffs, “China’s USTR,” MEPC Carbon...

Supply Chain Secrets ·

2025/10/14

Tariff whiplash, “China’s USTR,” and a carbon levy vote—yet spot rates look oddly calm. Caroline Weaver and Lars Jensen cut through the chaos: Trump’s 100% tariff warning vs. the Nov 10 tariff snap-back, China’s mirror policy (including the 25% ownership twist), and last-minute U.S. duties on ship-to-shore cranes (with 150% proposed on terminal gear). We also unpack why Trans-Pac spot rates paid are at ~12-month lows despite $3k GRI filings, and what CTS load-date demand says about wher...

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22:07

Trade Shifts, Rate Slides, and Real Market Signals:...

Supply Chain Secrets ·

2025/10/06

In this week’s Supply Chain Secrets podcast, hosts Caroline Weaver and Lars Jensen unpack the latest developments shaping container shipping and global trade. Lars calls in from Curaçao with an update on freight rates across the Pacific and how carriers’ blank sailings are reshaping capacity as Golden Week slows volumes. He dives into the USTR’s new restrictions on Chinese-owned vessels — and how China’s maritime legislation hints at potential retaliation against U.S. shipping interests. The ...

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23:00

From Phantom Peaks to Tariff Uncertainty: Why Rates...

Supply Chain Secrets ·

2025/09/29

The latest Supply Chain Secrets dives into the widening gap between quoted rates and what’s actually paid. Lars Jensen explains how the NYFI reveals a “phantom peak” that never materialized on the Trans-Pacific, the sharp declines on Asia–South America, and why Golden Week isn’t offering carriers relief. We also break down Trump’s tariff announcements, what the upcoming USTR fees mean for carriers (and how Seaspan and Hede Shipping are reacting), and look ahead at the vessel order book and wh...

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20:05

Rates in Freefall, Capacity Crunch, and What’s Next...

Supply Chain Secrets ·

2025/09/22

In this episode of Supply Chain Secrets, Caroline Weaver and Lars Jensen break down the latest volatility in container shipping. Asia–Europe rates continue their seasonal slide, while the Pacific faces a dramatic collapse in demand just as carriers push blank sailings. Lars explains why the gap between quoted and paid spot rates matters, why blank sailings may slow—but not stop—rate erosion, and how Golden Week timing is shaping strategy. The conversation also covers the looming U...

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22:11

From Asia–Europe Erosion to Atlantic Stability:...

Supply Chain Secrets ·

2025/09/16

In this week’s episode of Supply Chain Secrets, Caroline Weaver and Lars Jensen break down the latest shifts across major trades. Asia–Europe: Spot rates dip below spring levels, but Lars explains why it’s not yet a full collapse.Trans-Pacific: A striking bifurcation—rates out of Southeast Asia/China erode while Northeast Asia (Korea, Japan) surges by $500/FEU.Atlantic: After months of stability, head-haul rates slide from $1,800 to $1,500 per FEU.Capacity Updates: Carriers move beyond blank ...

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18:47

Tariff Whiplash, Demand Surprises, and Crew Change Chaos

Supply Chain Secrets ·

2025/09/08

In this episode of Supply Chain Secrets, Caroline Weaver and Lars Jensen unpack the latest twists in global trade. They cover falling Asia–Europe spot rates, unexpected tariff exemptions affecting hundreds of commodities, and the stark divide between booming global container demand and declining U.S. volumes. Lars also sheds light on rumors around HMM’s ownership shift and the sudden tightening of U.S. visa rules for seafarers—changes that could complicate crew logistics for ocean carri...

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27:01

Post-Labor Day Market Update: Spot Rates, Red Sea...

Supply Chain Secrets ·

2025/09/02

On this week’s Supply Chain Secrets, Caroline and Lars dive into the latest on global shipping markets. From sliding Asia–Europe spot rates and a short-lived Pacific GRI, to an unexpected Atlantic downturn, Lars explains what the numbers actually mean for shippers. The discussion expands to Red Sea security risks, the balance between freedom of navigation and seafarer safety, and what a surprising China–India–Russia meeting signals about a rapidly multipolar world. Packed with insights ...

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15:34

Digital Detox on Kilimanjaro, Then Back to Shipping’s...

Supply Chain Secrets ·

2025/08/26

What’s harder than catching Lars Jensen on stable Wi-Fi? Predicting what’s next in global supply chains. Fresh off summiting Mount Kilimanjaro, Lars’ next stop was Comoros — and let’s just say the Wi-Fi didn’t make the climb. But a spotty signal can’t stop Supply Chain Secrets. This week’s update is packed with hard-hitting market realities for shippers, forwarders, and carriers alike: Trans-Pacific spot rates slipping into unsustainable territoryTariff risks that could shake demand just befo...

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22:15

Tariffs, Rates, and Kilimanjaro

Supply Chain Secrets ·

2025/08/18

While Lars laces up his boots to climb Mount Kilimanjaro, he and Caroline dive into the latest global shipping news. They cover sliding Asia–Europe and Pacific spot rates, uncertainty around reciprocal and Section 232 tariffs, and the U.S. pushback on IMO’s decarbonization measures. They also analyze H1 financials from major carriers, with Hapag-Lloyd’s standout 12% volume growth raising big questions. Tune in for timely insights delivered from the slopes of Tanzania.

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20:59

Contracts, Tariffs, and Turbulence: Why “Fixed” Ocean...

Supply Chain Secrets ·

2025/08/11

In this episode, Caroline Weaver and Lars Jensen break down the latest shifts in ocean freight rates, revealing why long-term contracts offer far less insulation from spot market volatility than many shippers think. They compare NYFI and CTS data to show the hidden correlation between contract and spot pricing, then dive into a volatile week in trade policy—from unpredictable “reciprocal” tariffs to a surprise penalty on Indian imports that could hit cargo loaded before the rules even e...

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102 results

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