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PODCAST

STRAT

Mutual Broadcasting System LLC

STRAT – Strategic Risk Assessment Talk, is a forum with a preparedness mindset. Mitigating risks, creating systems of prevention and recovery to deal with potential threats, and understanding the objectives of a Business Continuity Plan. This is the podcast for leaders who are committed to being prepared. The program is hosted by retired Marine Corps intelligence officer and strategic risk assessment professional Hal Kempfer and investment banker Mark Mansfield.

business management

All Episodes

20:45

STRAT | 12 FEB 26 | How Oil Prices Are Reshaping...

STRAT ·

2026/02/13

Global oil markets are no longer just about supply and demand—they are reshaping geopolitics in real time. In this episode of the STRAT podcast, retired Marine Intelligence Officer LtCol. Hal Kempfer breaks down how oil pricing and access are being used as strategic tools with far-reaching consequences. From pressure on Russia’s war economy to Iran’s vulnerability around the Strait of Hormuz, the ripple effects are global. The discussion explores how sanctions, tariffs, tanker seizures, and

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22:00

STRAT | 02 FEB 2026 | What Does Regime Change In Iran...

STRAT ·

2026/02/02

What would regime change in Iran actually look like—and what would it mean for the United States, Europe, and global stability? In this episode of STRAT with Hal Kempfer, we examine why many analysts believe the Islamic Republic is facing its most precarious moment since 1979. From reformist calls for constitutional change and unprecedented criticism in state-controlled media to debates over exiled versus domestic leadership, the cracks are becoming harder to ignore. We explore the rise of the

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27:50

STRAT | 26 JAN 26 | Three Fronts of Conflict Shaping...

STRAT ·

2026/01/26

From America’s heartland to the Pacific coast and the Middle East, this episode of STRAT examines three arenas where pressure is building—and consequences may be closer than many realize. Retired Marine Intelligence Officer Hal Kempfer begins in Minnesota, where aggressive federal immigration enforcement, violent street protests, and political resistance raise serious constitutional and legal questions, including the potential invocation of the Insurrection Act. The focus then shifts to California,

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30:00

STRAT | 19 JAN 26 | Minneapolis, ICE, and a Nation on...

STRAT ·

2026/01/19

Protests and federal operations collide in Minneapolis after a fatal encounter between an ICE agent and a local resident. This episode of STRAT with retired Marine Intelligence Officer Hal Kempfer examines the surge of federal officers, the Minnesota National Guard’s mobilization, and warnings of possible troop deployments. We explore Governor and mayoral responses, crowd tensions, and how state and federal authority can clash in moments of crisis. STRAT’s insight frames the debate around

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20:00

STRAT | 14 Jan 26 | Iran on the Brink: Protests,...

STRAT ·

2026/01/14

This STRAT episode examines a rapidly escalating crisis in Iran and why it matters far beyond the Middle East. With protests spreading across more than 100 cities, a collapsing currency, and brutal crackdowns by the regime, Iran appears to be approaching a historic breaking point. The discussion with retired Marine Intelligence Officer Hal Kempfer explores how economic failure, mass arrests, and shocking levels of violence have shattered the long-standing social contract between the Iranian people

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17:00

STRAT | 06 January 2026 | Night Raid Reshapes...

STRAT ·

2026/01/06

In this episode, retired Marine intelligence officer LtCol. Hal Kempfer analyzes the stunning overnight U.S. operation that led to the capture of Venezuelan president Nicolás Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores. The mission—months in planning and executed with overwhelming air, cyber, space, and intelligence coordination—has sent shockwaves through Latin America and beyond. Kempfer breaks down what Operation Absolute Resolve reveals about modern U.S. military reach, strategic messaging, and escalation

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26:00

STRAT | Ukraine Peace Proposals, Power Politics, and...

STRAT ·

2025/12/30

In this episode of STRAT, retired Marine Intelligence Officer LtCol. Hal Kempfer breaks down the competing peace proposals aimed at ending the war in Ukraine and explains why each carries major strategic risks. The discussion examines a U.S.-backed 28-point plan that largely accommodates Russian territorial demands, Ukraine’s alternative 20-point framework emphasizing demilitarized zones and reconstruction, and Europe’s growing role as Washington signals limits to its long-term involvement. Beyond

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24:00

STRAT | 20 Dec 25 | America’s Return to Power...

STRAT ·

2025/12/21

America’s strategic focus is shifting back to its own neighborhood. In this episode of STRAT with retired Marine Intelligence Officer Hal Kempfer, we examine how U.S. policy in the Western Hemisphere is evolving into what many call “Monroe Doctrine 2.0.” Drawing on history, current events, and hard geopolitical realities, the discussion explores renewed American assertiveness toward Greenland, Canada, the Panama Canal, and Venezuela. The episode traces the origins of U.S. hemispheric dominance, the

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23:00

STRAT | 7 Dec 25 | U.S. Strategy Signals Major Shift...

STRAT ·

2025/12/07

In this episode of STRAT, retired Marine Intelligence Officer LtCol. Hal Kempfer breaks down the newly released U.S. National Security Strategy and what it means for America, Europe, and the global balance of power. The Trump Administration’s document outlines a worldview driven by “flexible realism,” the revival of Monroe Doctrine thinking, and a call for Europe to change course or risk “civilizational erasure.” Kempfer explores the reaction across European capitals, from criticism by diplomats

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25:00

STRAT | 1 DEC 2025 | Rising Flashpoints Reshape Power...

STRAT ·

2025/12/01

In this episode of STRAT, retired Marine Intelligence Officer Hal Kempfer examines two rapidly evolving geopolitical flashpoints—Venezuela and Ukraine—each perched at critical strategic inflection points. Venezuela faces mounting U.S. military and diplomatic pressure after President Trump’s declaration closing its airspace and the deployment of a powerful U.S. naval task force to the Caribbean. The situation places both Washington and the Maduro regime in precarious positions as covert operations,

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22:00

November 24, 2025 | California’s Catastrophic...

STRAT ·

2025/11/25

California’s recent wildfire tragedies reveal far more than natural disaster—they expose deep failures in federal oversight, intelligence integration, emergency preparedness, and state-level accountability. In this episode, retired Marine Intelligence Officer Hal Kempfer examines why California continues to suffer catastrophic losses despite receiving substantial federal resources for prevention, mitigation, and consequence-management intelligence. Using the deadly Palisades fire as a case study, we

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26:00

STRAT | 16 Nov 25 | Massive U.S. Military Buildup...

STRAT ·

2025/11/17

In this episode, retired Marine Intelligence Officer Hal Kempfer breaks down the newly announced Operation Southern Spear, a major U.S. military action aimed at targeting narco-terrorist networks in Latin America. With the USS Gerald R. Ford carrier strike group and an Amphibious Ready Group deploying to the region, the buildup represents one of the most significant demonstrations of American power in South America in generations. We examine what this force can actually do, what it can’t, and how

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20:30

STRAT | 6 NOV 2025 | U.S.-Mexico Tensions Rise Over...

STRAT ·

2025/11/06

In this episode of STRAT, retired Marine Intelligence Officer LtCol. Hal Kempfer examines the explosive proposal under consideration by the Trump Administration: U.S. military strikes against Mexico’s drug cartels. Kempfer explores how these criminal organizations dominate narcotics trafficking into the United States and perpetuate extreme violence and corruption in Mexico. He traces America’s long, complex military history south of the border—from the Mexican-American War to modern

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21:00

STRAT | November 2, 2025 | U.S. Naval Pressure Mounts...

STRAT ·

2025/11/03

In this episode of STRAT, retired Marine Intelligence Officer LtCol. Hal Kempfer analyzes escalating U.S. military operations targeting fast boats and semi-submersibles linked to narcotics trafficking in the Caribbean and East Pacific. He explores the mounting tension between Washington and Venezuela as American naval and air forces, including F-35s and strategic bombers, position off the Venezuelan coast. With the Maduro regime accused of deep ties to the Soles cartels—designated as a terrorist

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18:00

STRAT| 27 OCT 2025 | Flamingo Cruise Missiles Bring...

STRAT ·

2025/10/28

On this episode of STRAT, we examine Ukraine’s FP-5 “Flamingo” cruise missile — a potentially game-changing long-range weapon now entering serial production. Retired Marine intelligence officer LtCol. Hal Kempfer walks through reported production rates, propulsion sourcing, warhead capabilities, and the strategic implications for Russian infrastructure and morale. We unpack claims about range, cost, and manufacturing scale; evaluate targets that suddenly fall within reach (refineries, rail

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25:00

STRAT | 22 OCT 2025 | Geopolitical Crossroads:...

STRAT ·

2025/10/23

In this STRAT episode, retired Marine Intelligence Officer LtCol. Hal Kempfer breaks down three global and domestic flashpoints shaping today’s strategic landscape. First, he analyzes the latest diplomatic rift between Washington and Moscow, as talks between the U.S. and Russia collapse and Ukraine presses forward with new missile capabilities that could shift the balance of power. Next, Kempfer examines the fragile Gaza ceasefire, marked by violations, humanitarian struggles, and competing

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18:45

STRAT | October 13, 2025 | Turning Point in Gaza:...

STRAT ·

2025/10/14

In this episode of STRAT, retired Marine Intelligence Officer LtCol. Hal Kempfer examines one of the most pivotal developments in recent Middle East history—the ceasefire in Gaza and the release of Israel’s remaining live hostages. Kempfer analyzes how high-stakes diplomacy, coercive pressure, and regional alliances led to this breakthrough, and what challenges lie ahead in Phase 2 of the peace process. From Hamas’s disarmament and Gaza’s reconstruction to the possible normalization of relations

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24:00

STRAT | October 9, 2025 | Peace Deals, Court Battles,...

STRAT ·

2025/10/10

In this episode ofSTRAT, retiredMarine Intelligence Officer Hal Kempferexamines three fast-moving global and domestic developments shaping today’s security landscape. First, Hal analyzes the newGaza peace deal between Israel and Hamas — a fragile, phased agreement that could bring long-awaited hostages home but faces major hurdles in disarmament and governance. Next, he exploresthe Chicago federal court ruling halting National Guard deployments, unpacking constitutional questions and the broader

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20:00

STRAT | October 2, 2025 | National Guard Deployments...

STRAT ·

2025/10/03

In this episode, retired Marine Intelligence Officer Hal Kempfer examines the Trump administration’s fast-paced 2025 deployments of federalized National Guard troops to major U.S. cities. Framed by the Administration as a strategy to combat crime, immigration, and homelessness, the move has sparked nationwide debate over the use of the military and testing the limits of federal intervention in the homeland. From Los Angeles to Washington, D.C. and from Portland and Memphis, these deployments are

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24:50

STRAT | September 25, 2025 | Trump Shifts on Ukraine,...

STRAT ·

2025/09/26

In this episode, retired Marine Intelligence Officer Hal Kempfer unpacks President Donald Trump’s dramatic shift on Ukraine, announced at the UN General Assembly. Just weeks after the Administration alluded that Ukraine might trade land for peace, Trump declared that Russia cannot win this war and that Ukraine could restore its pre-war borders with U.S. and European backing. This stark reversal raises critical questions about what triggered the change—and what it means for Moscow. We explore how

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