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Broken Pie Chart

The Broken Pie Chart Podcast offers fresh looks at investment portfolio management, economics, markets, retirement planning, and more by simplifying and explaining important aspects of financial markets and the economy in easy to understand ways.

business investing

All Episodes

01:07:40

Tesla Earnings Option Volatility | S&P 500 To the...

Broken Pie Chart ·

2026/04/20

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner commenting on the stock market's breakout to new all-time highs. With earnings estimates, earnings reports, and sentiment shifting higher the market looks forward. Did investors get too bearish? Looking at Tesla's upcoming earnings via their implied volatility and 1-standard deviation expected move higher or lower. All this and more this week. Yup, we are back at all-time highs 7000 the new floor in the S&P 500 Index? Earnings analysts raise

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53:27

Consumer Confidence All-Time Low | Exxon vs...

Broken Pie Chart ·

2026/04/12

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week to discuss the all-time low in consumer sentiment and what if anything it means for markets. By the way, who exactly are they getting to stay on the phone for 50 questions? Then they discuss Exxon vs Salesforce performance since the CRM replaced XOM in the Down Jones Index. Plus, secular bull markets have pullbacks so are we still in one now? Consumer confidence all-time low Does Consumer Sentiment indicator from UMich forecast stock

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48:58

Market Bull & Bear Case | Strait of Hormuz Tracking |...

Broken Pie Chart ·

2026/04/06

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to look at the bull case vs. the bear case in markets. Plus, which company the gang is most looking forward to seeing what their earnings release shows and how the big tech names are all cheaper on a forward valuation basis. Why doesn't the market always go up when earnings grow? Now people are tracking sailings in the Strait of Hormuz. Later, examining whether Friday's recovering from a rough open is a good sign for markets or just an anomaly

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40:06

So Far News Is Worse Than Markets | Fed Rate Hikes? |...

Broken Pie Chart ·

2026/03/30

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to discuss how the news sounds worse than the markets have performed so far. What Peter Lynch famous 1994 speech tells us about market declines and corrections. Plus, really? The Fed Funds futures are now pricing in higher probability of rate hikes vs rate cuts. Finally, the Mag 7 seems to be on sale, so what needs to happen for them to start leading the market back to the highs? Peter Lynch on market corrections Mag 7 valuations are getting

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58:27

Analysts' vs The Market | Volatility | Kalshi...

Broken Pie Chart ·

2026/03/22

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner where they get into a discussion around the market moving lower, lowering the forward PE, and analysts haven't budged their estimates yet. So, who's right and who's wrong? Then they go through the volatility environment and whether this is a normal midterm year pullback reminding everyone this is pretty typical. Later, they get into Arizona suing Kalshi and whether prediction markets (or betting) belong under the CFTC. Vix and VVIX Volatility

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57:23

Oil the Dollar and Rates | Normal Midterm Year Market...

Broken Pie Chart ·

2026/03/15

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to discuss how a strong dollar, high oil prices, and the normal midterm year market cycle are dominating the talk around the stock market. If there was no Iran conflict, would the market be in the same spot? Later, looking at the options markets on Micron before next week's earnings. Finally, why the Strait of Hormuz is causing supply issues. Straight of Hormuz oil tanker conundrum Oil and the US Dollar jump and why it may not be good news for

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01:01:26

OpenAI the Next Netscape? | VVIX Surge | Is This the...

Broken Pie Chart ·

2026/03/08

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to riff on volatility surging including VIX and VVIX. What volatility changes mean to market makers having to sell or buy more shares to hedge. Later, examine the largest 1 week surge in oil historically and where last week ranks. Plus, asking if OpenAI will wind up being the winner or more like Netscape. All this and more this week. OpenAI vs other AI companies as the eventual winner Explaining what VVIX is in relation to the VIX Why changes

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54:36

PE Contraction | Salesforce vs Exxon | Nvidia is...

Broken Pie Chart ·

2026/03/01

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to explain how the market just got cheaper on a forward valuation standpoint. Plus, how Nvidia EPS estimates reached a new all-time high while the stock trends sideways. Later, comparing Salesforce and Exxon, where they look at a multiple expansion vs a multiple contraction. Finally, they delve into an increase in the near-term volatility skew, and the hot PPI numbers. What is volatility skew Salesforce vs Exxon Nvidia goes sideways even though earnings and

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GDP Breakdown | Tariffs Not Going Away | Nvidia...

Broken Pie Chart ·

2026/02/22

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to discuss the Supreme Court ruling on tariffs and the market reaction. Plus, looking at what the options market is predicting for Nvidia post earnings moves. Later, WTI oil prices moving higher, did the energy sector bull run predict this? Finally, breaking down the GDP release and whether the baring the government shutdown, GDP would have been higher. All this and more this week. GDP release and breakdown No inflation from tariffs Supreme

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46:40

Still No CPI Inflation from Tariffs | Interest Rate...

Broken Pie Chart ·

2026/02/17

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder to talk about the CPI release and how there isn't any evidence that tariffs are causing any issues with inflation. So, does this mean the Fed has a green light to cut rates? As the market broadens, you might be surprised what sectors are leading and hint, it's not tech. CPI Inflation report No inflation from tariffs Fed interest rate cuts Mag 7 passes the baton to energy, materials, and staples Nvidia earnings are coming up so what does the implied volatility

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59:21

Bitcoin & Strategy $MSTR Meltdown | Apple is Up While...

Broken Pie Chart ·

2026/02/09

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week to chat about the meltdown in bitcoin and Strategy (MicroStrategy $MSTR). Why would investors choose MSTR over just Bitcoin? The enterprise value vs market value of its Bitcoin holdings. Later, The Mag 7 aren't all acting alike as Apple is surging while Microsoft is in a bear market. Later, is volatility too high given we are so close to the previous all-time high in the S&P 500 Index? Bitcoin vs Strategy Bitcoin melts down Strategy

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46:59

Parabolic Silver and Gold | Mini Multiple Contraction...

Broken Pie Chart ·

2026/02/02

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner this week to discuss the parabolic moves in silver and gold including the record amount of trading. Plus, was PPI a big deal or no problem? Later, looking at the forward valuations of Walmart vs Nvidia in a hypothetical game of which one would you rather hold? You could also flip a coin which would be as good as any analysis. Meanwhile, earnings estimates have ticked higher while the S&P 500 Index moved lower, illustrating a multiple contraction in the forward

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55:12

Previewing Apple Meta Microsoft Google Earnings &...

Broken Pie Chart ·

2026/01/26

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about how it seems every metal is surging including Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium, and what else? Plus, Shane reports on the options conference and record option volumes. Oh, and did the market and volatility overreact to Greenland? It lasted all of one day. Oh, we have a big earnings week coming so what is the options market predicting for earnings moves? Big earnings week Implied volatility of most of the Mag 7 pre-earnings

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33:03

Commodity Boom? | Energy Stocks Running | Tariffs...

Broken Pie Chart ·

2026/01/18

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about whether the tariffs matter to the market anymore. Plus, energy stocks break out even though oil is still below $60. Later, how we continue to see broadening in participation of the bull market beyond the mag 7 stocks. Of course, earnings season is starting and in the end earnings matter above all else. Earnings matter in the long run XOM Exxon some back Energy stocks no longer hibernating How stocks can do well even if the

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01:11:47

High Valuation Ok? | Midterm Year Performance |...

Broken Pie Chart ·

2026/01/12

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about whether higher valuations are warranted based on rising profit margins. Then, they think about whether the upcoming Supreme Court ruling on tariffs matters for the market. Later, they discussed Google passing Apple for the #2 highest valued company in the S&P 500 Index, midterm election years performance vs other years, regression channels in the S&P 500 Index, payroll numbers, interest rates, and even copper prices. Midterm year

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01:19:28

2026 Stock Market Predictions Show | Big Winners 2025...

Broken Pie Chart ·

2026/01/05

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner, Mike Snyder, and yup Jay Pestrichelli makes an appearance to give our 2026 predictions. Where will markets, the economy, gold, the dollar, the fed, interest rates, bitcoin, recession, oil, bitcoin and much more plus a look back at who got 2025 right. 2026 Year End S&P 500 Index Targets VIX high for 2026 10 Year Treasury predictions Where will Bitcoin end 2026? Where will Oil, Gold, & the US Dollar End land in 2026? Outliers amongst the group and some

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50:26

Santa Claus Rally | Silver Goes Parabolic | S&P 500...

Broken Pie Chart ·

2025/12/29

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to talk about silver prices going parabolic while Gold, Copper, Platinum, and other metals are clocking in gains. Does the rally continue? They, they look at how well international markets have done crushing the S&P 500 Index this year where Spain's IBEX 35 and South Korea's KOSPI are the top dogs that no one saw coming. Later, they discussed the attribution to gains this year including how much it is due to earnings growth vs the growth of the forward PE

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01:04:02

What if Bitcoin Goes Nowhere? | No Inflation | TSLA...

Broken Pie Chart ·

2025/12/22

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about the CPI report and the bad beat for analysts. Then, they talk Bitcoin and what if it goes sideways for the next 5 years? Later, looking at Tesla TSLA implied volatility and whether SpaceX is creeping into its price plus how a small ETF is gaining flows because of a small allocation to SpaceX. We'll also talk sector performance YTD in 2025, Bitcoin vs gold searches, and yup, a little Japan talk looking at their 10 year yields

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54:17

$1 million Now vs $1000 a Week for Life | Wall Street...

Broken Pie Chart ·

2025/12/15

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week to ask if you would rather have a $1 million lump sum vs $1000 per week for life if you won the lotter. Then, looking at some of the incoming 2026 Wall Steet year end S&P 500 Index targets. Don't forget we'll do our own 2026 prediction show. Later, Apple seems to be bucking the AI spend and its price has been resilient in 2025, so what goes right or wrong in 2026? Plus, how markets go up over time but more specifically, in years they

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39:29

Can't Be a Bubble Without? | Contrarian Signal...

Broken Pie Chart ·

2025/12/08

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about Jurrien Timmer's chart showing we aren't in a bubble because the rise in markets is due to earnings not multiple gains. Plus, U of Michigan consumer sentiment hits a new low despite markets near all-time highs. Later, is Japan's rise in interest rates a problem for stocks, bonds, or neither? Finally, looking at the returns of gold vs stocks plus surprising forward P/E ratio of Walmart vs Nvidia. Gold vs Stocks performance Jurrien

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