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PODCAST

Tracking Trends

Rajesh Mahapatra

Welcome to Tracking Trends, a series where I, Rajesh Mahapatra, analyse key #macroeconomic, #market, and #political developments through a business and economics lens. From #gdpgrowth and #inflation to financial markets, #policy shifts, and global trade, this series unpacks the trends that matter—what’s driving them, what they mean, and where they could lead. Stay ahead of the curve with clear, #data-driven insights into the forces shaping the economy.

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All Episodes

00:18:09

India's Exports Losing Ground Amid Global Trade...

Tracking Trends ·

2025/10/06

Ever since US President #DonaldTrump triggered the tariff war, much of our attention has been focussed on India's trouble with its biggest trading partner -- the United States. What has been missed, however, is that India's exports to its other trading destinations have suffered too. In the first five months of this fiscal, April-August, exports to 10 out of the top 20 trading destinations have contracted year on year. If this trend continues, and with the impact of the 50% tariff on exports

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00:17:28

If $100k H1B Visa was Bad News, Worse is Coming --...

Tracking Trends ·

2025/10/06

Even as India begins to feel the pain of Trump tariffs and a clampdown on #H1B Visas, Republican Senator Bernie Moreno has proposed a new legislation to tax services outsourced by American companies to foreign workers -- Halting International Relocation of Employment #HIRE Act. He has proposed a hefty tax of 25% on the quantum of business outsourced.There may not be any immediate impact as the process of enacting the legislation will be long drawn, but there could be serious consequences in the long

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00:37:55

Trump Killing H1B Visas With $100k Fee: What Should...

Tracking Trends ·

2025/10/06

While Indian Prime Minister #NarendraModi and US President #DonaldTrump posture a friendship in front of the media, the latter continues to hit India with executive orders. The decision is to raise the fee for a H1B Visa to $100k will mostly hurt Indian IT workers who account for the bulk of the H1B Visas that the United States grants every year. India's manufacturing sector has already taken a hit with the reciprocal and penal tariffs total 50% that Trump imposed last month; the latest measures

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00:33:24

Nepal Violence: Beyond the Headlines, What's Next? II...

Tracking Trends ·

2025/10/06

Nepal is seeing widespread violent protests, triggered by a social media ban following days of political unrest. What may come as a surprise for many has been brewing in the background for some time. The protests, consisting largely of discontent youths, is raising a voice against alleged corruption, nepotism, inequality, and economic uncertainty. In this video we dive deep into the history leading up to this moment, various stakeholders, and what it means for India. Our guest, Professor S.D. Muni,

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00:35:18

Why GST Rate Cuts are not a Game Changer? I...

Tracking Trends ·

2025/10/06

Will the GST rate cuts be a game changer?The #GST Council has finally moved to cut the number of tax slabs from 5 to 4 and reduced taxes on a wide range of goods and services, with an aim to stimulate consumption and expenditure. The rate rationalisation will likely bring interim relief to consumers, but it is not clear if these changes would lead to a sustained and equitable revival in demand and in broader economic growth. In this episode of #TrackingTrends, Dhananjay Sinha and I dive deep into

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00:34:36

US Goes To War With Iran: What Now? Tracking Trends...

Tracking Trends ·

2025/10/06

The United States has entered the war with Iran. American stealth bombers struck Iran's three key nuclear facilities -- Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan -- on Saturday night, in an unprecedented assault that has significantly heightened geopolitical tension in the region. Iran has vowed to retaliate, threatening to attack American interests in the region and shutting down the strait of Hormuz. The consequences of this escalation could be devastating for the world and the global economy, unless it is

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00:27:31

RBI's rate cuts a pleasant surprise; abrupt policy...

Tracking Trends ·

2025/10/06

#TrackingTrends with #RajeshMahapatra ft. #KalyanRamThe Reserve Bank of India on Friday announced a bigger-than-expected cut in its benchmark lending (repo) rate -- from 6% to 5.5%, surprised markets by slashing cash reserve ratio from 4% to 3% to infuse liquidity to the tune of Rs 2.5 lakh crore and announced a sudden pivot to a “neutral” monetary policy stance. While the rate cut was cheered by industry and consumers, the push for liquidity and the about turn on policy stance have stoked new

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00:49:08

What Explains This Year's Freaky Monsoon:...

Tracking Trends ·

2025/10/06

Tracking Trends: #Monsoon arrives early, causes havoc in the northeast with disastrous #floods and #landslides, while northwestern states of Rajasthan and Punjab battle scorching heat. Elsewhere in Delhi and its neighbouring region, frequent #thunderstorms turn the month of May surprisingly pleasant, weather-wise. India's weather as we knew it is changing. I sit down with Dr Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, chief of India Meteorological Department, to understand the multiple factors at work and what these mean

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00:32:21

Trump Game Gets Uglier With Powell Spat, California...

Tracking Trends ·

2025/10/06

In this exclusive conversation, I sit down with Indrani Bagchi, veteran foreign affairs journalist and CEO of the Ananta Centre, to unpack the far-reaching implications of Donald Trump’s tariff strategy through the lens of US domestic politics.We explore how these tariffs are shaping political narratives, and what recent remarks by California Governor Gavin Newsom and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signal about America’s evolving economic posture.From geopolitical calculations to trade war

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00:35:23

#GST Report Card and What Lies Ahead | Tracking...

Tracking Trends ·

2025/10/06

The Goods and Services tax, introduced to streamline and unify a complicated indirect tax regime in India, has been a subject of criticism and contesting claims since its inception. On the one hand, it has emerged a buoyantly growing source of revenue for the government, while on the other, the multiplicity of tax slabs, high compliance burden and lack of transparency in certain respects have undermined the promise with which it was billed. In Episode 7 of Tracking Trends, I sit down with Najib

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00:28:43

Trump Tariffs: Who is hit the hardest? | Tracking...

Tracking Trends ·

2025/10/06

In Episode 6 of Tracking Trends, I sit down to chat with Pramit Pal Chaudhuri, noted Foreign Affairs Journalist and the South Asia Head of the Eurasia Group.Pramit is an experienced and knowledgable expert in foreign affairs, and has been tracking American policy and global economics closely. We discuss the latest sweeping tariffs levied by the Trump Administration, and the repercussions for the world economy and trade, including India. 🇮🇳🇺🇸We discuss:- How the American consumer is likely to be

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00:23:34

Grok And The Future of AI Regulations | Tracking...

Tracking Trends ·

2025/10/06

In this episode of Tracking Trends, I sit down with Meghna Bal, Director at Esya Centre and a lawyer by training, to discuss the impact of Grok on public discourse in India.🚨 Key Topics:🔹 How Grok is shaping online conversations🔹 The role of AI in spreading (or combating) misinformation🔹 Challenges of regulating AI-driven content🔹 The future of digital media policy in IndiaWith AI-powered platforms becoming more influential, how should policymakers, tech companies, and the public respond? Tune

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00:29:03

Why India's Trade Story is not looking up | Tracking...

Tracking Trends ·

2025/10/06

In the fourth episode of Tracking Trends, I sit down with trade and commerce expert Ajay Srivastava to break down the latest shifts in global trade. With rising tariffs, shifting supply chains, and evolving trade policies, how is India navigating these challenges? What do these trends mean for businesses and the economy?🔹 Key topics we cover:✅ The latest trade numbers and what they mean✅ India’s trade strategy and policy shifts✅ The future of exports and supply chains✅ Key sectors to watch in

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00:30:30

India vs. Trump’s Tariffs | Tracking Trends with...

Tracking Trends ·

2025/10/06

As the U.S. imposes tariffs under Trump’s trade policies, how is India responding? In this conversation with Rajesh Mahapatra, trade expert Arpita Mukherjee at the Indian Council for Research in International Economic Relations (ICRIER) breaks down India’s strategy, the potential economic impact, and what this means for global trade relations. 🇮🇳🇺🇸We discuss:- How India is responding to #DonaldTrump and his threats of #reciprocaltariffs - The implications for key industries like manufacturing

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00:26:11

Is the US Economy Heading for Recession? | Tracking...

Tracking Trends ·

2025/10/06

Concerns are growing that the US economy may be heading toward a recession. February’s official jobs data revealed the slowest employment growth in three and a half years, and March could be even worse as Elon Musk’s efforts to downsize the US government take effect.The Atlanta Fed now estimates that US GDP will contract by 2.3% in the January-March quarter. If the downturn extends into April-June, the US would officially be in a recession.How did the economic outlook deteriorate so rapidly

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00:28:11

India’s Growth Dilemma: Dr. Pronab Sen on latest GDP...

Tracking Trends ·

2025/10/06

India’s GDP growth is projected at 6.2% for Q3 FY24-25, but does this reflect real economic strength? In this insightful discussion, Dr. Pronab Sen breaks down the numbers, highlighting key concerns around manufacturing, MSMEs, liquidity, and inflation. - Is 6.5% GDP growth sustainable, or is India facing deeper structural issues? - Why is agriculture driving growth, and can it continue? - The manufacturing slowdown—are MSMEs recovering, or is this a data illusion? - Liquidity vs. interest rates—is

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16 results

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