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PODCAST

The Macro Trading Floor

Alfonso Peccatiello & Brent Donnelly

The Macro Trading Floor is a fun and actionable macro and markets podcast hosted by AlfonsoPeccatielloand Brent Donnelly. If you are looking for banter, financial education, and actionable trade ideas this is the podcast for you!

business investing

All Episodes

40:32

6% Yields Next & Will Stonks Handle It?

The Macro Trading Floor ·

2026/10/09

Alf and Brent discuss the relentless bond yield and USD move. Can we get to 6% yields in the US, or even higher? And will stonks be able to handle it?

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38:58

Macro Blowups Everywhere - What Now?

The Macro Trading Floor ·

2026/10/02

Alf and Brent are back to discuss the various macro blowups we are witnessing simultaneously: French spreads, front-end of the bond market, mortgage-backed securities, EM carry and so on. What's the best framework to apply for each of these?

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35:58

On Bessent, Gold & Idiosyncratic Trades

The Macro Trading Floor ·

2026/08/28

Alf and Brent are back to discuss the Bessent buyback plan and its impact on markets. The duo focuses on gold, the long-end and the USD as potential release valves. The discussion then moves to two macro idiosyncratic ideas.

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37:18

On Sizing Options, The Fed and The JPY

The Macro Trading Floor ·

2026/08/09

In this episode, Alf and Brent talk about the Fed's likely reaction function to incoming data and the Bessent/Japan accord on the JPY. The duo then discusses one of the trickiest questions for macro PMs: when to use options, and how to size them?

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38:21

Warsh Woke Up The Bond Vigilantes

The Macro Trading Floor ·

2026/07/31

Alf and Brent discuss the significant market reaction to Warsh's press conference: the Fed handed over the keys to the bond market, and now Bond Vigilantes are in charge until data comes in to set the direction straight for everyone. How to handle such a market environment?

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35:15

The Orange Variable

The Macro Trading Floor ·

2026/07/10

Brent and Alf discuss the n-th injection of the Orange Variable in markets: Trump decided to escalate again with Iran, and even suggested the ceasefire might be over altogether. The duo discusses how to approach these injections of uncertainty, and what are the best trading and riskmanagement frameworks to deploy here.

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30:57

The Rebasement Trade

The Macro Trading Floor ·

2026/06/26

Alf and Brent discuss the major market shifts since the Warsh press conference. Is this a big macro shift or just a mini-trend that will ultimately slow down or even reverse?

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37:25

The Inflation Ghost, Gold and Options

The Macro Trading Floor ·

2026/05/22

To reach out to Alf: alf@palinurocapital.com (or Alfonso Peccatiello on BBG)To reach out to Brent: bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com (or Brent Donnelly on BBG) In this episode, Alf and Brent discuss the best risk/reward ways to position for the macro environment ahead of us. They then deep dive into option structures around gold, and the question of increasing sample size of trades to reduce PnL variance against the risk of downgrading your edge and expected value per trade when the sample size

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33:07

Process, Process, Process

The Macro Trading Floor ·

2026/05/15

To reach out to Alf: alf@palinurocapital.com (or Alfonso Peccatiello on BBG)To reach out to Brent: bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com (or Brent Donnelly on BBG) In this episode, Alf and Brent focus on various aspects of their investment/risk management process. They discuss several ideas and how to implement them according to their framework: when to use options? How to think about convexity?

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33:31

Macro Investing In A Post-Hormuz World

The Macro Trading Floor ·

2026/05/08

To reach out to Alf: alf@palinurocapital.comTo reach out to Brent: bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com Alf and Brent refresh their macro and trading frameworks on the basis of new info: the Iran/US MoU in negotiation phase, how the world might look like when Hormuz reopens, the Japanese FX intervention and more.

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37:12

New All-Time Highs Are Here: Now What?

The Macro Trading Floor ·

2026/04/17

To reach out to Alf: alf@palinurocapital.comTo reach out to Brent: bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com Alf and Brent discuss the framework for an Iran-US deal, and how to approach rates, currencies and equity markets for the foreseeable future.

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33:20

Frameworks To Trade The Hormuz Crisis

The Macro Trading Floor ·

2026/04/10

To reach out to Alf: alf@palinurocapital.comTo reach out to Brent: bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com Alf and Brent are back discussing frameworks to approach this market as a short-term oriented trader or as a long-term focused macro investor.

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33:07

How To Trade Macro In A War

The Macro Trading Floor ·

2026/03/20

Alf and Brent reflect on correlations converging to 1 across asset classes, risk management practices in macro deleveraging events, and a game theory approach to how the war could unfold from here.

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37:02

Hormuz & The Terms of Trade Shock

The Macro Trading Floor ·

2026/03/06

Alf and Brent discuss the terms of trade shock that the de-facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz is causing. The duo walk through scenarios and probabilities and what framework can be used to trade such a market environment,

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37:14

The New Fed vs The Good Old Bond Market

The Macro Trading Floor ·

2026/01/30

To reach out to Alf and Brent, ping them on BBG (Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly).In this episode, Alf and Brent discuss how the appointment of the new Fed Chair could shape the US policy making objective in the bond market. The repercussions on the USD and on the incentive schemes for other large bond market players (e.g. Japanese investors) are not to be underestimated.

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37:12

US Dollar Hedging: A Real Risk or Just a Narrative?

The Macro Trading Floor ·

2026/01/23

To reach out to Alf and Brent, ping them on BBG (Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly).In this episode, Alf and Brent reflect on the April-2025-like price action which coincided with the tariff threats. Now that the TACO is here, the real question is: will this episode encourage global pension funds to hedge their gigantic USD exposure?

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36:34

Japanese Macro Tails

The Macro Trading Floor ·

2026/01/16

To reach out to Alf and Brent, ping them on BBG (Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly).In this episode, Alf and Brent focus the discussion on Japanese short-term and long-term macro: is the MoF ready to intervene? How do you trade these policymaker-induced setups? And in the long-run, will the market keep punishing the JPY and long-end bonds or will the Bank of Japan turn hawkish and surprise the market?

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37:59

The Everything SuperCycle?

The Macro Trading Floor ·

2026/01/09

To reach out to Alf and Brent, ping them on BBG (Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly).In the first TMTF episode of 2026, Alf and Brent discuss every single macro asset class under the sun: equities, bonds, currencies and commodities. The duo also talks about the reaction function of the Fed, and a few idiosyncratic ideas.

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30:17

More Pain Ahead Or Buy The Dip?

The Macro Trading Floor ·

2025/11/23

The Nasdaq has now sold off nearly 10% from the highs, and the pain in momentum assets is even more severe. Alf and Brent discuss whether there are reasons to believe more pain lies ahead, or this is the time to step in and buy the dip.

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28:29

''Run It Hot'': The Comeback?

The Macro Trading Floor ·

2025/11/14

Alf and Brent discuss the resurgence of the ''run it hot'' trade: Trump floating around new fiscal stimulus and government reopening odds seem to have revived the trade. How to best approach markets going forward?Want to reach out to Alf or Brent? Alfonso Peccatiello on Bloomberg chat, or alf@themacrocompass.com Brent Donnelly on Bloomberg chat, or bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com

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141 results

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