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PODCAST

Probable Causation

Jennifer Doleac

A show about law, economics, and crime. Hosted by Jennifer Doleac, economist and author of The Science of Second Chances: A Revolution in Criminal Justice.

society & culture social sciences

All Episodes

74:13

Episode 123: Ezra Golberstein on school-based mental...

Probable Causation ·

2026/02/10

Ezra Golberstein talks about the impacts of school-based mental health services."Effects of School-Based Mental Health Services on Youth Outcomes" by Ezra Golberstein, Irina Zainullina, Aaron Sojourner, and Mark A. Sander. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Investing in Children to Address the Child Mental Health Crisis" by Janet Currie. “The FDA and ABCs: Unintended Consequences of Antidepressant Warnings on Human Capital" by Susan H. Busch, Ezra Golberstein, and Ellen Meara. “The

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51:00

Episode 104: Oeindrila Dube on cognitive behavioral...

Probable Causation ·

2026/01/13

Check out my new book!The Science of Second Chances: A Revolution in Criminal Justice In this episode of Probable Causation: Oeindrila Dube talks about a cognitive behavioral training program for police. This episode was first posted in April 2024. “A Cognitive View of Policing” by Oeindrila Dube, Sandy Jo MacArthur, and Anuj Shah. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Thinking, fast and slow? Some field experiments to reduce crime and dropout in Chicago" by Sara B. Heller, Anuj K. Shah,

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62:37

Episode 122: Vijetha Koppa on Lethality Assessment...

Probable Causation ·

2025/12/16

Vijetha Koppa talks about Lethality Assessment Programs used by police in domestic violence incidents.OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Does the Certainty of Arrest Reduce Domestic Violence? Evidence from Mandatory and Recommended Arrest Laws" by Radha Iyengar. "Revisiting the Effect of Warrantless Domestic Violence Arrest Laws on Intimate Partner Homicides" by Yoo Mi Chin and Scott Cunningham. "Deterrence or Backlash? Arrests and the Dynamics of Domestic Violence" by Sofia Amaral,

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44:07

Episode 121: Peter Blair on occupational licenses as...

Probable Causation ·

2025/11/18

Peter Blair talks about occupational licenses as information about criminal records.“Job Market Signaling through Occupational Licensing” by Peter Q. Blair and Bobby W. Chung. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “The Prevalence and Effects of Occupational Licensing" by Morris M. Kleiner and Alan B. Krueger. “Analyzing the Extent and Influence of Occupational Licensing on the Labor Market" by Morris M. Kleiner and Alan B. Krueger. “A Welfare Analysis of Occupational Licensing in U.S

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37:20

Episode 120: Joseph Doyle on improving foster care...

Probable Causation ·

2025/10/21

Joseph Doyle talks about improving foster care outcomes.“Effects of Enhanced Legal Aid in Child Welfare: Evidence from a Randomized Trial of Mi Abogado” by Ryan Cooper, Joseph J. Doyle, and Andrés Hojman. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “The Effects of Legal Representation on Tenant Outcomes in Housing Court: Evidence from New York City’s Universal Access Program” by Michael T. Cassidy and Janet Currie. "Better Together? A Field Experiment on Human-Algorithm Interaction in Child

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60:14

Bonus episode 15: Jens Ludwig on his book,...

Probable Causation ·

2025/09/23

Barry Friedman talks with Jens Ludwig about his book: Unforgiving Places: The Unexpected Origins of American Gun Violence.

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50:45

Episode 119: Elin Colmsjö on how health shocks affect...

Probable Causation ·

2025/08/26

Elin Colmsjö talks about how health shocks affect criminal behavior.“Breaking Bad: How Health Shocks Prompt Crime” by Steffen Andersen, Elin Colmsjö, Gianpaolo Parise, and Kim Peijnenburg. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “Participation in illegitimate activities: A theoretical and empirical investigation" by Isaac Ehrlich. “Long-term and spillover effects of health shocks on employment and income” by Pilar García-Gómez, Hans Van Kippersluis, Owen O’Donnell, and Eddy Van

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52:38

Episode 118: Sekou Keita on media reporting policies,...

Probable Causation ·

2025/07/29

Sekou Keita talks about how media policies that limit information reported about criminal offenders can unintentionally increase bias against the group they're trying to protect.“The Usual Suspects: Offender Origin, Media Reporting and Natives’ Attitudes Towards Immigration” by Sekou Kenta, Thomas Renault, and Jérôme Valette. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Anti-Muslim voting and media coverage of immigrant crimes" by Mathieu Couttenier, Sophie Hatte, Mathias Thoenig, and Stephanos

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01:07:46

Episode 117: Nour Abdul-Razzak on cognitive...

Probable Causation ·

2025/07/01

Nour Abdul-Razzak talks about her research on a cognitive behavioral therapy program called Choose to Change.“Longer-term Impacts of a Youth Behavioral Science Intervention: Experimental Evidence from Chicago” by Nour Abdul-Razzak, Brandon Domash, Kelly Hallberg, and Cristobal Pinto Poehls. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: Scarcity: Why having too little means so much by Sendhil Mullainathan and Eldar Shafir. “Thinking, fast and slow? Some field experiments to reduce crime and dropout

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01:03:13

Episode 116: Crystal Yang on accreditation of...

Probable Causation ·

2025/06/03

Crystal Yang talks about her research on the accreditation of jail-based health care.“The Hidden Health Care Crisis Behind Bars: A Randomized Trial to Accredit U.S. Jails” by Marcella Alsan and Crystal Yang. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “Impact of hospital accreditation on quality improvement in healthcare: A systematic review” by Mohammad J. Alhawajreh, Audrey S. Paterson, and William J. Jackson. “Improvement in quality of hospital care during accreditation: A nationwide

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37:01

Episode 115: Steve Mello on the long-term financial...

Probable Causation ·

2025/05/06

Steve Mello talks the long-term financial impacts of small criminal justice fines.“Fines and Financial Wellbeing” by Steven Mello. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Report on the economic well-being of U.S. households in 2017" by Jeff Larrimore, Alex Durante, Kimberly Kreiss, Christina Park, and Claudia Sahm. "Criminalizing poverty: The consequences of court fees in a randomized experiment" by Devah Pager, Rebecca Goldstein, Helen Ho, and Bruce Western. "The Government Revenue,

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47:29

Episode 114: Rachel Nesbit on mandating mental health...

Probable Causation ·

2025/04/08

Rachel Nesbit talks about the effects of mandating mental health treatment for probationers.“The Role of Mandated Mental Health Treatment in the Criminal Justice System” by Rachel Nesbit. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “Calgary Diversion Program: A Community-Based Alternative to Incarceration for Mentally Ill Offenders” by Craig Mitton, Liz Simpson, Leslie Gardner, Fran Barnes, and Gerald McDougall. “Mental Health Treatment and Criminal Justice Outcomes” by Richard G. Frank and

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53:21

Episode 113: Peter Hull on a jail-based education...

Probable Causation ·

2025/03/11

Peter Hull talks about the effects of a jail-based education program called IGNITE.“'Something Works' in U.S. Jails: Misconduct and Recidivism Effects of the IGNITE Program” by Marcella Alsan, Arkey Barnett, Peter Hull, and Crystal Yang. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “What Works? Questions and Answers about Prison Reform” by Robert Martinson. “Incarceration, Recidivism, and Employment” by Manudeep Bhuller, Gordon B. Dahl, Katrine V. Løken, and Magne Mogstad. “Thinking, Fast and

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49:52

Episode 112: Abi Adams on economic abuse and intimate...

Probable Causation ·

2025/02/11

Abi Adams talks about economic abuse as it relates to intimate partner violence.“The Dynamics of Abusive Relationships” by Abi Adams, Kristiina Huttunen, Emily Nix, and Ning Zhang. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Motherhood and Violence" by Gabriela Deschamps. "Female empowerment and male backlash: Experimental evidence from India" by Claire Cullen, Sarthak Joshi, Joseph Vecci, and Julia Talbot-Jones. "The Unintended Impacts of an Intimate Partner Violence Prevention Program:

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52:15

Episode 84: Alex Albright on bail reform (REBROADCAST)

Probable Causation ·

2025/01/14

Alex Albright talks about money bail and the effects of bail reform.“No Money Bail, No Problems? Trade-offs in a Pretrial Automatic Release Program” by Alex Albright. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “Tripping through Hoops: The Effect of Violating Compulsory Government Procedures” by Natalia Emanuel and Helen Ho. “The Effects of Pretrial Detention on Conviction, Future Crime, and Employment: Evidence from Randomly Assigned Judges” by Will Dobbie, Jacob Goldin, and Crystal S.

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58:40

Episode 111: Roman Rivera on electronic monitoring...

Probable Causation ·

2024/12/17

Roman Rivera talks about the effects of electronic monitoring for US pretrial defendants.“Release, Detain, or Surveil? The Effect of Electronic Monitoring on Defendant Outcomes” by Roman Rivera. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "The Effects of Pretrial Detention on Conviction, Future Crime, and Employment: Evidence from Randomly Assigned Judges" by Will Dobbie, Jacob Goldin, and Crystal S. Yang. “Criminal Recidivism after Prison and Electronic Monitoring” by Rafael Di Tella and

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46:48

Episode 110: Aurélie Ouss on misaligned incentives in...

Probable Causation ·

2024/11/19

Aurélie Ouss talks about how changing who pays for incarceration affects sentencing decisions.“Misaligned incentives and the scale of incarceration in the United States” by Aurélie Ouss. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: The Collapse of American Criminal Justice by William J. Stuntz. "The rise in the disability rolls and the decline in unemployment" by David H. Autor and Mark G. Duggan. "Incentives to provide local public goods: fiscal federalism, Russian style" by Ekaterina

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44:30

Episode 109: Anjali Adukia on restorative justice...

Probable Causation ·

2024/10/22

Anjali Adukia talks about how using restorative justice practices in schools affects student behavior.“From Retributive to Restorative: An Alternative Approach to Justice in Schools” by Anjali Adukia, Benjamin Feigenberg, and Fatemeh Momeni. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “Breaking Schools’ Rules: A Statewide Study of How School Discipline Relates to Students’ Success and Juvenile Justice Involvement" by Tony Fabelo, Michael D. Thompson, Martha Plotkin, Dottie Carmichael, Miner P

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44:08

Episode 13: Ariel White on short jail spells and...

Probable Causation ·

2024/09/24

Ariel White talks about the effect of short jail spells on subsequent voting behavior. This episode was first posted in October 2019."Misdemeanor Disenfranchisement? The Demobilizing Effects of Brief Jail Spells on Potential Voters" by Ariel White. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Turnout and Party Registration among Criminal Offenders in the 2008 General Election" by Traci Burch "Did Disfranchisement Laws Help Elect President Bush? New Evidence on the Turnout Rates and Candidate

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01:05:41

Episode 7: Jeff Weaver on the effects of parental and...

Probable Causation ·

2024/08/27

Jeff Weaver talks about the long-term effects of parental and sibling incarceration. This episode was first posted in July 2019."The Effect of Parental and Sibling Incarceration: Evidence from Ohio" by Samuel Norris, Matthew Pecenco, and Jeffrey Weaver. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “Disrupted Childhoods: Children of Women in Prison” by Jane A. Siegal. “Parental Arrest and Incarceration: How Does it Affect Children?” By Stephen B. Billings. “Incarceration Spillovers in Criminal

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126 results

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